Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2851
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
G4 2851 · USA → FLL
departs 3:48 PM ET · arrives 5:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave USA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
USA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.