Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2875
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 2875 · SFB → SGF
departs 8:00 AM ET · arrives 9:30 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.3d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at SGF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SGF?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.42 in
SGF (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.