Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2896
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 2896 · SFB → ROA
departs 2:00 PM ET · arrives 3:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ROA more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ROA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at ROA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ROA?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SFB that day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SFB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.41 in
ROA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.