Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2928
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 2928 · SFB → AVL
departs 7:38 PM ET · arrives 9:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SFB that day
↑
7pm departures from SFB are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SFB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.41 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.