Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2952
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 2952 · SFB → RFD
departs 5:17 PM ET · arrives 7:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at RFD more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RFD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at RFD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to RFD?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SFB that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RFD
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.44 in
RFD (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.