Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2969
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 2969 · SFB → GSP
departs 6:05 AM ET · arrives 7:30 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at GSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GSP?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from SFB are usually not late
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.47 in
GSP (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.