Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3015
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 3015 · SRQ → FWA
departs 5:39 PM ET · arrives 8:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Mon 10/5
Odds over time
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at FWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FWA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SRQ
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FWA
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
FWA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.