Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 413
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 413 · EYW → CVG
departs 11:57 AM ET · arrives 2:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
EYW is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
11am departures from EYW are usually not late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
EYW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
CVG (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.