Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 418
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 418 · CVG → VPS
departs 7:00 PM ET · arrives 7:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at VPS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to VPS?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
VPS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.99 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.