G4 423 · AUS → CVG

departs 10:29 AM CT · arrives 2:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ AUS is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility9.85714 mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 423 · AUS → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?