Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 424
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
G4 424 · CVG → JAX
departs 1:12 PM ET · arrives 3:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at JAX that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
JAX (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.75 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.