Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 427
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 427 · ELM → MYR
departs 6:45 PM ET · arrives 8:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave ELM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at MYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MYR?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MYR that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ELM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ELM (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.1 mi Precip none
MYR (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.57 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.