G4 428 · CVG → PGD

departs 7:00 AM ET · arrives 9:23 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PGD?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PGD

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PGD (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 428 · CVG → PGD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PGD?