Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 432
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 432 · EWR → DSM
departs 11:55 AM ET · arrives 1:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at DSM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DSM?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
DSM is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at EWR that day
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 4,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DSM (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.