G4 529 · FLL → GSP

departs 12:12 PM ET · arrives 2:10 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GSP?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GSP (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 529 · FLL → GSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSP?