G4 536 · AZA → GRR

departs 7:45 AM MT · arrives 2:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ AZA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from AZA are usually not late

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GRR (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 536 · AZA → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?