Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 543 LANDED 1:58 PM CT, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

G4 543 · GRR → BNA

took off 1:45 PM ET · landed 1:58 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRR

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 543 · GRR → BNA

Odds over time