G4 559 · BNA → GRR

departs 3:02 PM CT · arrives 5:41 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GRR (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 559 · BNA → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?