G4 573 · GRR → AZA

departs 6:01 AM ET · arrives 6:58 AM MT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AZA?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ AZA is prone to delays

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRR

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

AZA (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 573 · GRR → AZA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AZA?