G4 847 · PGD → SGF

departs 7:40 AM ET · arrives 9:25 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PGD

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from PGD are usually not late

Weather at each end

PGD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

SGF (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 847 · PGD → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?