Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 861
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 861 · PGD → ALB
departs 8:30 AM ET · arrives 11:33 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at ALB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ALB?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
8am departures from PGD are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
ALB (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.