Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 866
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
G4 866 · ALB → PGD
departs 12:23 PM ET · arrives 3:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at PGD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into PGD at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at ALB that day
Weather at each end
ALB (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.