Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 877
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 877 · PGD → BNA
departs 9:26 PM ET · arrives 10:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±3 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PGD
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.