Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 886
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 886 · SPI → PGD
departs 7:38 PM CT · arrives 11:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave SPI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SPI
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SPI (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.