Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 922
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
G4 922 · LEX → PGD
departs 6:25 PM ET · arrives 8:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PGD
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LEX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.