Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 933
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 933 · MCI → PGD
departs 7:37 PM CT · arrives 11:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.