G4 939 · PGD → IAG

departs 8:10 AM ET · arrives 11:06 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at IAG more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAG?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 8am departures from PGD are usually not late

Weather at each end

PGD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

IAG (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling8,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 939 · PGD → IAG

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAG?