Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 973
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
G4 973 · GUF → SDF
departs 4:33 PM CT · arrives 7:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave GUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at SDF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SDF?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at GUF that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
GUF (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.80 in
SDF (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.