G7 4167 · AVL → ORD

departs 5:54 PM ET · arrives 6:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from AVL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AVL that day

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4167 · AVL → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?