G7 4178 · AVL → EWR

departs 5:43 PM ET · arrives 7:38 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AVL that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4178 · AVL → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?