Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

JAPAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT JL 69 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:47 PM PT, ETA 6:46 PM JST) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

JL 69 · LAX → KIX

took off 2:47 PM PT · expected to land 6:46 PM JST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at KIX more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into KIX at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

KIX (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

JL 69 · LAX → KIX

Odds over time