Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

LATAM · FLIGHT LA 533 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:16 PM ET, ETA 6:52 AM -03) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

LA 533 · JFK → SCL

took off 8:16 PM ET · expected to land 6:52 AM -03 (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SCL more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at JFK that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SCL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

SCL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LA 533 · JFK → SCL

Odds over time