Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

EL AL · FLIGHT LY 10 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:18 PM ET, ETA 6:46 AM IDT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

LY 10 · JFK → TLV

took off 2:18 PM ET · expected to land 6:46 AM IDT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at TLV more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 1pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TLV

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

TLV (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LY 10 · JFK → TLV

Odds over time