Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

EL AL · FLIGHT LY 26 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

LY 26 · EWR → TLV

departs 9:13 PM ET · arrives 1:57 PM IDT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at TLV more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 9pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ TLV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

TLV (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LY 26 · EWR → TLV

Odds over time