Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

EL AL · FLIGHT LY 6 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:55 PM PT, ETA 12:37 PM IDT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

LY 6 · LAX → TLV

took off 1:55 PM PT · expected to land 12:37 PM IDT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at TLV more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ TLV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TLV (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LY 6 · LAX → TLV

Odds over time