Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3387 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

MQ 3387 · CRQ → PHX

departs 4:42 PM -03 · arrives 1:31 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ 4pm departures from CRQ are usually not late

Weather at each end

CRQ (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3387 · CRQ → PHX

Odds over time