Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3529 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

MQ 3529 · MFE → DFW

departs 2:07 PM CT · arrives 3:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at MFE that day

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ MFE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MFE (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

DFW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3529 · MFE → DFW

Odds over time