Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3565 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

MQ 3565 · PIA → ORD

departs 5:52 PM CT · arrives 6:37 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIA

Weather at each end

PIA (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3565 · PIA → ORD

Odds over time