Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3574
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
MQ 3574 · DFW → HRL
departs 6:02 PM CT · arrives 7:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at HRL that day
↑
6pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HRL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 1.69 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.