Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3575
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
MQ 3575 · DFW → HRL
departs 2:52 PM CT · arrives 4:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at HRL that day
↑
2pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HRL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.