Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3617 LANDED 12:55 PM MT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

MQ 3617 · GJT → PHX

took off 12:49 PM MT · landed 12:55 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GJT

Weather at each end

GJT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3617 · GJT → PHX

Odds over time