MQ 3625 · ECP → DFW

departs 12:15 PM CT · arrives 2:43 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at ECP that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

ECP (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.25 in

DFW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3625 · ECP → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?