MQ 3668 · DFW → VPS

took off 4:50 PM CT · expected to land 6:16 PM CT (scheduled 4:36 PM CT → 6:35 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to VPS?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at VPS that day

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ VPS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

VPS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.74 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3668 · DFW → VPS

Odds over time

How late will it get to VPS?