Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3720 LANDED 4:26 PM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

MQ 3720 · ORD → MHT

took off 1:48 PM CT · landed 4:26 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MHT (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3720 · ORD → MHT

Odds over time