MQ 3766 · DFW → STS

took off 10:23 AM CT · expected to land 11:44 AM PT (scheduled 10:20 AM CT → 12:33 PM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STS?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ STS is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STS

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3766 · DFW → STS

Odds over time

How late will it get to STS?