Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3857 LANDED 12:22 PM ET, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

MQ 3857 · BOS → SYR

took off 11:25 AM ET · landed 12:22 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at SYR that day

↑ 11am departures from BOS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ SYR usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

SYR (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3857 · BOS → SYR

Odds over time