MQ 3857 · SYR → BOS

departs 1:15 PM ET · arrives 2:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 1pm departures from SYR are often late

↓ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at BOS that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SYR (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

BOS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3857 · SYR → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?