MQ 4197 · SAV → DFW

departs 7:45 PM ET · arrives 9:46 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↑ 7pm departures from SAV are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAV (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.55 in

DFW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4197 · SAV → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?