MQ 4199 · TVC → DFW

took off 5:12 PM ET · expected to land 6:30 PM CT (scheduled 5:04 PM ET → 7:02 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TVC

Weather at each end

TVC (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4199 · TVC → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?