MQ 4331 · DFW → SGF

departs 7:30 AM CT · arrives 9:05 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ 7am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SGF (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4331 · DFW → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?